Turkey’s EU Odyssey
By Dr Ahmad Faruqui
Danville, California


On October 3, the 25-member European Union (EU) agreed to begin talks with Turkey about its accession to the organization, a process that may take ten to fifteen years. The EU’s decision to open talks comes 42 years after Turkey first knocked on the door by joining the European Economic Community (EEC) as an associate member. But it was not until December 1999 that Turkey’s EU candidacy was recognized.
Recent opinion polls indicate that the vast majority of Europeans in key countries are opposed to Turkey’s participation. The strongest opposition is in Austria, at 80 percent. This is followed by Germany, with 74 percent and France and Greece, both with 70 percent opposed. In the UK, whose tourists routinely go to Turkey for their summer holiday, the opposition is much lower at 37 percent. For EU as a whole, 52 percent are opposed. Not surprisingly, European foot dragging has caused support for the EU in Turkey to fall. It was over 70 percent a year ago and is now down to 60 percent.
Why is there so much resistance in Europe to Turkey’s joining the EU? After all, it has been a faithful friend and ally of the West during the Cold War and continues to serve as a loyal NATO partner. It is the world’s most secular and liberal Muslim democracy and even has diplomatic ties with Israel. There are several barriers.
The primary barrier is what Austrian Chancellor Wolfgang Schuessel has called a lack of EU’s “absorption capacity.” By the year 2020, Turkey will be the biggest country in the EU. It has a population of 72 million that is growing at a rate of 1.5 percent a year. Its per capita GDP is a third of the EU average and its economy is heavily agrarian. Much of its Asian territory is economically indistinguishable from that of Iran, Iraq and Syria. Many Turks migrated to Germany decades ago as guest workers, in search of better economic conditions. The three million who reside there today live in a “parallel society.” Europeans, living in economies with high unemployment rates, fear they might be over-run one day by Turks looking for better economic conditions.
There is also a perception that Turkey is only nominally a European country, since only three percent of Turkey’s land area is in Europe. This overlooks the fact that much of Istanbul, home to 12 million Turks, lies in Europe.
The leaders of both France and Austria have announced plans to hold referendums on the topic of Turkey’s accession before giving the green light to the EU. They fear a voter backlash if they go against the wishes of the electorate. Former French President, Valery Giscard d’Estaing, has expressed his apprehensions on the subject. More to the point, incoming Germany Chancellor, Angela Merkel, a Helmut Kohl protégée, has not disguised her hostility towards Turkish membership.
While very few Europeans will admit it, they have trepidations about Turks changing the strategic culture of Europe. These fears go way back in time to statements by leader of the Protestant reformation, Martin Luther, who described the Turks as “the people of the wrath of God”. Such latent sentiments convey a fear that Europe would be Islamized, with millions of women wearing head scarves and millions of men sporting the fez. Some have suggested that the Turks will seek to impose traditional Islamic laws in Europe, which is highly unlikely, since the Turks have eliminated such laws in their own homeland.
Typical of the fear mongers is former EU commissioner Frits Bolkestein who evoked long memories in December by saying that Europe would be Islamized and “the liberation of Vienna in 1683 (from a Turkish siege) would have been in vain.” Austria, with a population of 8 million, is still putting up the biggest resistance. Suspicions of Turkey run deep in Austria where some still recall proudly how they saved Europe from the Ottoman Turks who were assembled at the gates of Vienna in 1683. Those with even longer memories remind others of how they had beaten off the Ottoman Turks under Sultan Suleyman the Magnificent in 1529.
Nevertheless, the world has changed enormously since then. This point was driven home recently by Prime Minister Lawrence Gonzi during a meeting with the members of the Maltese community in Michigan: “In 1565 Malta and the Knights saved Europe from the Ottoman invasion. Yet today we support Turkey’s bid to join the EU — provided they improve their track record and fulfill all entry requirements.” Being very conscious of not stirring up ancient quarrels, after gaining the EU’s nod on October 3, Turkish Foreign Ministry officials asked Turkish newsmen to please not write, “We have vanquished the Austrians!”
The process of applying for EU membership has already generated benefits for Turkey’s population, by serving as a catalyst for economic and political reform in the country. The EU’s rigorous demands are spelled out in thousands of pages of legal documents and Turkey’s conservative AKP party led by Prime Minister Erdogan has undertaken ambitious reforms to begin meeting them. These have weakened the power of the Turkish military, which for decades was the strongest “political party” in the Republic. They have also reversed decades of corruption, political as well as financial. Minorities such as 14 million Kurds, have regained their political and cultural rights. It is important to note that on some issues Turkey has led Europe. For example, Turkish women were allowed to vote in 1930, while French women did not get that right until 14 years later.
If the EU rejects Turkey, it will have consequences far beyond the borders of Turkey. Terrorists will cite it as evidence that Europe, despite a secular veneer, is Christian to the core and is still carrying on the fight that was started by the Crusaders in the 11th century.
Recognizing this, US secretary of state Condoleeza Rice has warned, “We cannot afford to have a divide between Muslim Turkey and multi-religious but Christian Europe.” And British foreign secretary Jack Straw, who holds the EU’s presidency, has voiced a concern that Turkey’s rejection could trigger a clash of civilizations.
One hopes that the EU leaders will have the foresight and conviction to eventually bring Turkey into their fold. With a fast growing economy, a young workforce and more than half of its trade already with the EU, Turkey can help Europe compete in world markets and improve its standard of living. But even more importantly, by laying a bridge between civilizations, the EU will make a major contribution to world peace.

 


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Editor: Akhtar M. Faruqui
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