By Syed Arif Hussaini

July 21, 2006

Chechnya after Blast Kills Its Rebel Leader

The ferocious looking, darkly charismatic, 41-year old, Shamil Basayev, the Chechen rebel leader declared a terrorist by the UN and many countries of the world, blew up in pieces in a blast on July 10 when a truck carrying a heavy load of dynamite suddenly blew up in Ingushtia, a state in the vicinity of Chechnya, destroying the truck and several cars in the cavalcade including that of Shamil.
The head of Russian security service immediately claimed credit for killing “the biggest criminal of his country”.
Shamil’s personal courage, audacity and accomplishments were no doubt remarkable by any measure. He had become a folk hero among his people and a legend for his followers who regarded him as totally invincible. No wonder, they have declared the blast to be purely accidental, while the Russian Security Chief, Nikolai Patrushev, said in a TV address that his organization had caused the blast. Whatever be the factual position, Shamil is no more.
Would the struggle for the independence of Chechnya also die down with him? Although some of the leading American papers have predicted that, the history of Chechnya does not point to a clear different direction.
An adversary relationship has existed between Russia and the states in Caucasus since the forces of the Czar conquered the area in 1859. The people, mostly Muslims, did not succumb to the Russian yoke. Their war hero, Imam Shamil (after whom Shamil Basayev is named) continued to fight the Russian might for more than a quarter century. The famous Russian novelist, Leo Tolstoy, served in the Czarist army in the region and wrote about the often losing struggle to make the mountain warriors loyal subjects of the Russian empire.
After the 1917 communist revolution, the Caucasian states declared their independence. Six year later, the Bolshevik troops reoccupied the area but declared the states in the region as autonomous.
This subservient status was not acceptable to the freedom-loving souls. During WWII they were suspected of collaborating with Germany. Giving vent to his anger, Stalin deported almost the entire population of Chechnya to the inhospitable Siberia in 1944. Half of them died of hunger and cold. Thirteen years later, in 1957, President Khrushchev allowed them to return to their homeland.
With the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, all the component republics were given the option to secede from the Union. While the declaration of independence of other states was accepted, the claim of Chechnya to independence was rejected. Its oil reserves made it a special possession of Russia. (For details read The History and Politics of Chechen Oil by Robert Ebel). Then it lies on the route of oil pipelines from Kazakhstan and Caspian Sea region to a Black Sea port. The Russian effort to re-impose its control over the region led to a two-year war, 1994-96, in which over 70,000 persons were killed. President Yeltsin decided to withdraw his war-weary and ill-paid troops despite the evident humiliation.
The peace agreement granted virtual self-rule to the Chechens. Vladimir Putin who succeeded Yeltsin as President elected to re-impose Kremlin’s control over the state to be accepted as a leader of grit. He sent into the state 100,000 troop to pulverize the tiny republic that had a population of a million and an area of 600 square miles, smaller than many a county in the US.
While confronting this mighty army as best as they could, young Chechens resorted to terrorist acts - hijacking of planes, hostage takings, and bomb blasts - to bring “our cause to the notice of the world”. Shamil emerged as their leader. He had made his mark as the leader of a three-member team that hijacked an Aeroflot flight to Turkey. The hijacking was resolved. In 1995 he lost 11 members of his immediate family including his wife.
In the 1994-96 Chechen war, Shamil emerged as the rebels’ top field commanders. Chechnya became virtually independent. He ran for Presidency but lost. Two years later, he became the Prime Minister for a brief period.
In 1999, he led a force in neighboring republic of Dagestan to unite it with Chechnya. This led to the second Chechnya war. Soon afterwards, he lost a leg when he stepped on a land mine. Audacious as he was, this had not the least effect on his field activities. Pieces of his prosthetic leg helped in identifying his body.
He expanded his area of operations to Moscow and other parts of Russia. According to the Russian Security Chief, Shamil was now planning to target the forthcoming G-8 Summit in St. Petersburg.
He had encouraged young Chechen women too to pick up arms to fight for the independence of their homeland. In Oct. 2001, a group of 53 of his followers traveled 1500 miles north to reach Moscow and seize the famous Moscow Theater. Eighteen of this group comprised young women, widows of Putin’s invasion of their state. They wore black and became famous worldwide as “black widows”.
Kremlin had put a bounty of $10 million on his head. He used to mock them for their failure to capture him. “Don’t tell me they are trying to find me; I’m trying to find them”. Now Shamil and his mockery are both history. The question remains: Would his end put an end to Chechen struggle for independence?
Events seem to be moving in that direction. The Chechen separatist movement has received setback after setback over the past couple of years. Only a few weeks back, A.K. Saidullayev, who was appointed President of the parallel government set up by Chechen rebels, was killed. The elimination of Shamil is perhaps the biggest setback to the separatists.
They will have to exercise rationality; for, they cannot keep fighting on the basis of their valor or the validity of their claim. They have hardly any support in the international community. They would be well advised to reconcile to the reality of the situation.
- arifhussaini@hotmail.com

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