False Sense of Security
By S.Ehtisham, MD
Bath NY

I recently read an article by Jag Mohan, a former federal minister of India. He claimed that there were 83,000 $ millionaires and 40 $billionaires in India. Life expectancy had increased, software industry was worth $ 20 billion and the country had the third largest pool of scientists in the world.
Then he went on to furnish truly deplorable statistics:
- over 250 million men, women and children go to bed hungry.
- 40% of total low birth babies under the age of five are Indian.
- out of 150 million children in the world who do not attend school, 130 million are Indian.
- 640 million Indians have no access to sanitation, 170 million do not have safe water.
- 293 million do not have access to health care facilities
- 100,000 peasants committed suicide between 1998 and 2003 because of debt burden.
- Slums are growing 250% faster than the population
- Infrastructure is so poor that 40% of vegetables and food are wasted during the journey from the field to the consumer
- India produces half as much grain per year as China does though the former has double the cultivable area.
The social cost of headlong descent into "me too-ism" has been catastrophic. It took the West 500 years to reach the level of technological and scientific level it is at today. To try to reach the level in a few decades has resulted in terrible dislocation of the society and the cost in human misery is incalculable.
Recently published statistics in an IMF/WB economic survey place Pakistan at position 73 and India at 134. These statistics are misleading, ignore the lost opportunities and give a false sense of security to Pakistanis.
After the initial chaos had been overcome, Pakistan found itself in a much better economic situation than did India. It was self-sufficient in food. It had jute and cotton to earn foreign exchange. It enjoyed windfall profits during the Korean War. The earnings were invested in import-substitution industries which were protected by high tariff walls.
We migrated to Pakistan in May 1951. Quetta was the first city of our sojourn. Wheat sold for Rs five a maund. It was Rs 18 per maund in UP India. Ghee was Rs 5 per sair. It was for Rs 25 in India. Grapes were 4 annas a sair. They were Rs 5 per sair in Lucknow.
Pakistanis looked so much healthier than Indians did and I am not talking of Pathans, Punjabis, Sindhis or Baloch. My focus is on the immigrants from UP, India.
Even as late as 1986 when I visited Bombay I could not believe my eyes. I could count the ribs of passers-by from a moving taxi. I expect you to know that an average Indian wears only a dhoti which covers the lower half of the body. I hasten to add I am talking of men.
Then the ruling group of feudals, military and bureaucrats put the country on a steep downslide. It got into military and economic pacts. It ran up immense loans called aid. Aid does not come without strings.. It is interest-bearing loan. It is a "tied" loan too. You have to buy goods from the loan-giving country. You have to use their ships. They overcharge you for the material and services. It is not uncommon that you will end up paying 200 for goods and services which you could buy for 100 on the open market. You have to buy spare parts from the very same manufacturers who charge you 300 or more for an item worth 100.
The story of military hardware is even more depressing. Western countries unload obsolete and obsolescent arms on "developing" countries. They also make gifts of their failures. Zia had gone to attend field trials of a tank which the US army had rejected, when his plane was blown out of the sky. The tank needed a paved surface to run on! The saga of spare parts is repeated here too. And they can choke off the supply line any time they want, as they did during the 1965 war with India.
Officers were sent to the USA for training. They came back brainwashed.
The country is, of course unable to pay the loan back and takes more loans to pay just the INTEREST ON THE LOAN. It is called loan servicing. The principal remains intact. The loan burden on Pakistan is truly mind boggling.
Curiously enough the greatest addition to loan and interest burden was during the "ISLAMIC DISPENSATION" of Zia. The country became totally dependent.
Western interests did not desire a freely elected and empowered parliament in Pakistan that could have abolished the feudal system and loosened the neo-colonial hold of the West on the country. Army does not understand that neo-imperialist hegemony never helps. The 1968 coup was arranged. Import restrictions were whittled down.
Ayub wanted to take over Kashmir when India was down and out during 1961 war with China. Kennedy told him to hold his horses and as a sop got Nehru to renew his promise to hold plebiscite in the state.
In 1965 Ayub did not want to accept Kosygin as mediator. Russians had always tilted towards India. Johnson wanted to curry India's favor. In a midnight call he told Ayub to go to Tashkent or else.
In the 1970 elections Pakistan had the last chance of democratic government which would spend money on nation building - education, jobs, health, industry and infra structure and not waste it on WWII vintage rifles. The ruling class which now had mullahs in its ranks and could now be called the evil Quad-feudal, army, bureaucrats and clerics - aided and abetted by the West opted to lose half the country.
The country was in dire financial straits. Bhutto had to accept the conditions IMF and World bank imposed to bail the country out. Currency had to be devalued, and import restrictions further relaxed.
Bhutto, for all his faults, had self-respect. He wanted a bit of it for his country as well. He managed to get Muslim countries on board as well. The fore-runners of current MMA launched a well financed campaign (dollar lost 25% of its value on the street in Karachi. I was there) and got rid of Bhutto. When they felt that all their disinformation campaigns did not make a dent in the man's popularity, they hanged him. NO ISLAMIST PARTY PROTESTED THE MURDER.
Post-9/11, Musharraf's supine acceptance of American troops and hand over of air bases to them was inevitable. No government, elected or otherwise could have avoided it.
The country has to meekly accept all the demands of WB and IMF. They have placed their own man in PM's office. He is busy selling national assets like electric supply companies, steel mill and ports to global corporations.
Bugti's murder was not due to his intransigence and insistence that a larger part of Sui gas income be spent on Baluchistan. It was his threat of retaliation which would compromise war on "terrorism" in Afghanistan. He had provided samples of the events to come by blowing up gas lines. Gwadar, pipelines through Baluchistan, all pet projects of global corporations, I count China among them, were on the line.
Now the country has, short of a bloody upheaval, no chance of getting out of the stranglehold of national debt and the agents in place, willing and unwilling, of Western intelligence agencies.



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Editor: Akhtar M. Faruqui
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