By Syed Arif Hussaini

November 25 , 2005

Senate Rebuffs Bush on War in Iraq



A resolution passed yesterday (Nov. 15/05) with a broad bipartisan support, 79 to 19, virtually rebuffed the Bush Administration on its conduct of the war in Iraq. In a pivotal shift, the Republicans and the Democrats have given a clear indication that they can no more be expected to keep endorsing the Administration’s lead on the war. The Senate has thus distanced itself from its earlier record of standing by the President in the war. The senators were clearly reflecting the general public abhorrence to a war that was from day one vehemently opposed throughout the world as it lacked a palpable casus belli and any legitimacy under the international law.
The resolution calls for 2006 to be “a period of significant transition to full Iraqi sovereignty” and for “the phased redeployment of US forces from Iraq”. It requires the administration to report quarterly on the progress for achieving this objective. This requirement reflects the lack of trust in the Administration. It also indicates the increasing role the Congress intends to play in the conduct of war and peace.
Significantly, the resolution has come almost on the heels of the President’s rebuke to politicians calling for a withdrawal of troops from an ‘unpopular war’. He pointed out that he had declared the war on Iraq after the Congress had authorized it. Questioning now the raison d’etre, he felt, would amount to “rewriting history”. If the US withdrew now, it would amount to surrender in a battle of nerves with the enemy; “we must therefore stay the course”.
Yes, it is true that in October 2002, the Senate had voted 77 to 23 and the House 296 to 133, authorizing Bush to go to war against Saddam Hussein of Iraq. The subsequent worldwide demonstrations did not lead to a review of the authorization. Nor, did intensive search later on lead to the discovery of any weapon of mass destruction. It was just a hoax blamed now on faulty information furnished by intelligence agencies.
President Bush’s contention that Saddam was a threat to the security of the United States sounded unconvincing, considering the puny size of his country and its war machine. It was, no doubt, a threat to Israel, and Saddam’s antipathy towards it was no secret. But, no one in the administration was willing to point that out as the real casus belli.
The resolution we are examining in this column now counters the contention of the President for staying the course. As Sen. Richard Durbin (D Illinois) has remarked, “It’s not good enough for the President to make speeches about staying the course when the course has led to so many lives being lost, so many dollars being spent”. The Senate Minority leader even called it “a vote of no confidence” on Bush’s Iraq policies.
The Senate did not, however, block the allocation of the $500 billion defense budget - the crucial aspect of the matter. Nor, did it give a timeline, as proposed earlier by the Democratic Senators that might have restricted US military operations in Iraq.
The resolution was evidently a compromise formula that would allow the war to continue but with increased efforts to hasten an end to it.
Also, it presses indirectly the Iraqi administration to take over the security responsibilities from the US and coalition troops. To the coalition partners, it signals the shape of things to come.
President Bush, in an immediate response to the resolution said in Kyoto, Japan where he was on a visit: “I appreciate the fact that the Senate rejected the proposal of Democrats to set a deadline for the withdrawal.” The requirement of quarterly report to the Senate, he thought, would pose no difficulty.
President Bush is as well known for his optimism as for his obstinacy that does not admit of any change of mind under external pressure. No wonder he took the derogatory resolution as a “positive step”, ignoring the clear unease in both Parties over the administration’s Iraq policy.
While unprecedented public rallies were being held in the fall of 2002 throughout the world against his administration’s decision to launch a war against Iraq, he found these as an endorsement of democracy, which encouraged the free expression of the opposite point of view. He was as adamant in pursuing his course then as he is now despite being badly stuck in Iraq’s quagmire.
The flow of body bags, the unabated continuance of insurgency in Iraq, the unimpressive outcome so far of the war on terror, the enormous outlays on the conflict, the shaky economy, the high cost of gas and energy, the indictment of a top White House aide, Lewis Libby, for perjury and obstruction of justice, the debacle of the nomination of Harriet Miers, the inordinate delay in coping with Hurricane Katrina, and some other factors have sunk Bush’s popularity in opinion polls. A recent Washington Post-ABC poll found only 39 percent approval for his presidency. An A.P. survey placed it at 37 percent
This being the popularity index of the Bush Administration, would there be a significant shift in policy in the near future? The answer is: no, it is unlikely.
Although objective conditions advocate a shift in the stance on Iraq, there is little possibility of this happening during the tenure of the Bush Administration given his own tenacity and that of his Vice President and their close advisers.
The Senate resolution correctly reflects the agony and aspirations of the common man. But, the scenario of disengagement it forecasts might turn out to be a mere optical illusion.

 

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