Page 7 - Pakistan Link - October 13, 2023
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OPINION                                                                                                              PAKISTAN  LINK - OCTOBER 13, 2023 - P7
             n By Touqir Hussain                                                                                              Pakistan (TTP) either. Their support for
           Georgetown University US   Pakistan’s Foreign Policy Is Well Past Its Shelf                                        them is both a leverage against Pakistan
                                                                                                                              and a reciprocation for TTP’s help dur-
               hen should a country be-  Life. Here’s Why It Needs a Paradigm Shift                                           ing the Afghan war — something they
               come  aware  that  its  for-                                                                                   may  need  again.  The  solution  to  the
       Weign policy is past its shelf                                                                                         TTP  problem  has  to  be  found  within
       life and change is long overdue?                                                         on caution instead of blind trust.  Pakistan.  Seeking  it  in  Afghanistan
                     It’s when the nation                                                          Pakistan  wishes  to  enhance  its  re- could deteriorate relations with the Tal-
                  is  being  left  behind                                                       lationship  with  the  US,  particularly  iban and exacerbate Afghanistan’s insta-
                  in  a  rapidly  changing                                                      by  fostering  economic  collaboration.  bility, which is not in our best interest.
                  world,  its  diplomatic                                                       While the US doesn’t possess vital eco-  The Taliban may be able to control
                  space  is  shrinking,  it                                                     nomic interests in Pakistan, it recogniz- Afghanistan  but  not  stabilize  it  —  at
                  struggles to make new                                                         es the potential significance of strength- least not to the extent that it could be-
                  friends  and  retain  old                                                     ening  economic  bonds  to  achieve  its  come  an  attractive  economic  partner
       ones,  and  its  enemies  are  no  longer                                                objectives in the region. Many areas of  in the region. Without this, Pakistan is
       afraid of it.                                                                            potential cooperation, including energy  never going to realize its dream of be-
         Realistically  speaking,  foreign  and                                                 technology, agriculture and IT, are be- coming a hub for trade investment and
       domestic  policies  are  inherently  in-                                                 ing  discussed.  Washington  also  wants  energy in the region. Because of its se-
       terlinked. If there is something wrong                                                   to help with healthcare and education.  curity-dominated foreign policy, Paki-
       with a country’s foreign relations, it is                                                   In  the  Middle  East,  relations  with  stan has thus effectively shut one door
       largely  because  something  is  wrong                                                   Iran are important but challenging, leav- to  economic  progress.  Another  door,
       with its domestic policy.                                                                ing room for improvement. Pakistan also  India, is also closed, for which Pakistan
         Pakistan’s domestic policy has made                                                    maintains good relations with Turkey.  of course is not entirely to blame.
       it dependent on external powers. This                       hance economic benefits, countries are   However, Islamabad should not ex-  Pakistan’s security policies have lim-
       dependency  creates  imbalanced  rela- The good old days    strengthening or loosening traditional  pect its closeness with Arab countries to  ited  its  options  for  economic  engage-
       tionships, eroding the country’s ability   But  the  best  days  of  our  foreign  ties, and seeking new friendships. Old,  continue.  While  Pakistan  remains  rel- ment in the region in more ways than
       to  find  new  allies,  while  at  the  same  policy are long gone as the policy has  fixed and unchanging alliances are be- evant, some of its historical importance  one. The policies have given rise to ex-
       time discouraging the development of  increasingly been made less out of con- ing questioned. The idea is to get eco- has dimmed in light of emerging align- tremist and militant organizations with-
       its own domestic strength.    cern for national interest and more by  nomic  benefits  from  wherever  you  ments in the region. As for Saudi Arabia  in the country, inhibiting foreign invest-
         This has left it weak and vulnerable  the leadership’s own priorities and pur- can  by  cooperating  while  competing  and the Gulf states, we cannot ignore the  ments, along with weak rule of law and
       to exploitation. Below is a brief story of  suit of political power.  and  subordinating  your  conflicts  to  fact that two million Pakistanis work in  poor  governance  for  decades.  Not  to
       how it all happened.            The  rise  of  extremist  outfits,  born  economic  interests  where  necessary.  Saudi Arabia and are the biggest source  mention  its  dependency-oriented  for-
                                     out of Pakistan’s strategic ambitions and  Conflicts  are  not  being  shelved,  but  of remittances for the country.  eign policy has reduced its list of friends
       A  historical  review  of  the  foreign  Washington’s  ill-conceived  wars,  have  countries  are  no  longer  making  them   Regarding  financial  assistance  to  and benefactors, leaving it with only a
       policy                        come to threaten our internal stability  obstacles to cooperation.  Pakistan,  the  Gulf  states  are  shifting  few options for global engagement.
         Pakistan  has  great  diplomats,  but  and economic future. Instability thrives        their strategy. They are now prioritiz-  Pakistan  needs  a  new  approach
       diplomats do not make policy; the po- when a state is too weak and ambivalent  There is still some hope  ing  the  diversification  of  their  own  which is currently absent as it contin-
       litical  leadership  does.  What  is  even  to act. The hybrid system has split the   Pakistan’s  foreign  relations,  on  the  economies,  anticipating  a  transition  ues  to  be  consumed  by  ideology  and
       more  interesting  about  Pakistan’s  for- authority to act and the responsibility  other  hand  have  literally  been  frozen  away  from  fossil  fuels  in  the  future.  internal struggles for power. Going for
       eign  policy  is  that  it  has  historically  for action, providing on the one hand  in time, except for its strong relations  Their aim is to engage in strategic in- the ‘Jihadist option’ has boomeranged
       prioritized the role of the security es- for  indecision,  thoughtless  or  even  with China. Luckily, the relations have  vestments rather than providing grants  while India’s strengths have multiplied,
       tablishment.                  reckless  actions,  and  on  the  other  for  enough residual strength to provide a  driven by ideology. Consequently, they  earning it a popular global status.
         Initially,  Pakistan  had  no  choice.  lack of accountability.  platform for renewal through a proper  are emphasizing the need for structural   Our  interest  in  talking  to  India
       With the newborn state facing an exis-  The ruling establishment’s response  foreign  policy.  But  a  lot  more  has  to  and policy reforms in Pakistan before  serves no purpose when India is not in-
       tential challenge to its security and eco- to the deepening crisis a few years ago  change to create a new foreign policy.  extending financial support.  terested in dialogue. It is not interested
       nomic survival, it searched for a strate- was to make a rhetorical switch to geo-  Here is where we stand now.  Finally, as for Russia, the two coun- in anything Pakistan has to offer, be it
       gic relationship with a major power.  economics  —  economic  policies  pur-  What began as a tentative tactical al- tries  decided  in  2014  to  seek  closer  economic relations or Kashmir — In-
         At  the  time,  the  search  for  a  ma- sued  on  the  basis  of  global  economic  liance between China and Pakistan 73  relations that had been previously in- dia thinks it has found the solution to
       jor strategic partner, the arrival of the  and geopolitical considerations.  years ago has matured into an extraor- hibited  due  to  Moscow’s  strategic  ties  Kashmir without Pakistan’s help.
       Cold War in South Asia, and the United   It was too little, too late.  dinary relationship of mutual strategic  with India. But concrete progress is yet   Pakistan  wrongly  assumes  that  its
       States’ search for allies all fit perfectly   Geo-economics  largely  remains  a  and economic dependence. The China  to be seen. One of the possible reasons  geopolitical  position  holds  evergreen
       together.  American  assistance  estab- slogan as Pakistan fails to make neces- connection has become ever more im- could be Moscow’s reported dissatisfac- significance. Our geopolitical position
       lished a balance of power in the region,  sary  shifts.  The  underlying  structural  portant for Pakistan, and not for all the  tion with Pakistan over its policy on the  is only an asset for a stable and strong
       securing Pakistan’s survival and its eco- economic  weaknesses,  poor  gover- right reasons.  Ukraine  war.  Even  though  the  scope  Pakistan, but for a weak and unstable
       nomic assistance also helped the new- nance, and lack of political stability do   The  dependency  syndrome,  anti- for expanding relations with Russia is  one, it is a liability.
       ly-founded  state  build  a  platform  for  not make Pakistan a good partner or an  Americanism  and  a  warped  view  of  limited,  Pakistan  should  persist  in  its   The bottom line is that a nation’s abil-
       future economic development.  attractive market for foreign investors.  ‘independent’  foreign  policy  have  led  efforts to strengthen ties.  ity to influence foreign relations, espe-
         The  US  connection  strengthened  As former finance minister Miftah Is- to the perception that with China at its    cially in today’s world, depends on eco-
       the  elite-based  ruling  establishment,  mail said in a recent interview, “In the  back, Pakistan does not need to priori- The biggest foreign policy challenges  nomics, which in turn is dependent on
       particularly the army, as they provided  last 20 to 25 years, we have not solved a  tize its other relationships.  No  issue  impacts  Pakistan’s  inter- political stability and good governance.
       the  services  Washington  was  looking  single big problem”.  The  fact  is  that  anti-Americanism  nal and external challenges as much as   Economic power is at the core of na-
       for. The army therefore became the pre-                     is not a badge of independent foreign  peace and stability in Afghanistan. It is  tional strength. It enables a state to have
       dominant player in Pakistan’s political  Where do we go from here?  policy.  Pakistan’s  mounting  economic  not  just  the  Americans  or  Soviets  that  a good defense capability, enriches the
       life.  The  Pakistan  army’s  services,  the   Pakistan’s  organizing  idea  has  long  difficulties,  rising  challenges  to  inter- lost since the overthrow of Afghanistan’s  quality  of  life  of  citizens,  and  has  the
       country’s geopolitical location, and its  been  addicted  to  a  world  that  is  now  nal stability and continuing threats to  monarchy  and  the  wars  that  followed.  potential  to  attract  friendly  relations
       Islamization made it an attractive part- extinct. The geopolitical environment,  external security require good relations  Pakistan and Afghanistan too have lost  with other countries from a non-subor-
       ner for different reasons, to China, the  which it banked on for decades to de- with Washington. China cannot be the  by becoming tributaries and confluences  dinate position. The dominant theme of
       US and Saudi Arabia, who became its  fine its value for big powers, no longer  answer to all of Pakistan’s problems, nor  of extremist influences and instability.  all emerging regional and global groups
       principal benefactors.        exists. The organizing idea of Pakistan  should it be expected to be. China is a   Pakistan’s  policy  planners  demon- in recent years is economics. And there
         Given  the  multiplicity  and  relative  itself  —  an  elitist-led  country  depen- strategic partner but cannot be a substi- strated  either  complete  disregard  or  are opportunities for Pakistan as well,
       permanence of interests that bind Chi- dent on external help — has failed.  tute for other relations. To develop rela- lack  of  awareness  of  these  changes  as  but if the current state of Pakistan per-
       na and Pakistan together, the relation-  Pakistan would do well by studying  tions with both China and the US, Pak- they  persisted  in  their  misguided  ap- sists, it will remain on the sidelines.
       ship between the two countries became  and adapting to the far-reaching chang- istan’s  diplomacy  needs  to  be  flexible.  proach  of  nurturing  and  safeguarding   Pakistan  is  secure  enough  to  take
       strategically  significant  to  Pakistan  as  es the world has undergone at all lev- Ties with China may be indispensable,  the  Afghan  Taliban  for  decades.  The  calculated  risks  and  embrace  change.
       well. But the other two remained largely  els. Under the umbrella of an unsteady  but ties with America are necessary.  Taliban were never going to be the so- With ample national strength, the na-
       transactional and truncated.  world order, led by the US and China,   America  has  taken  nothing  from  lution to Afghanistan’s problems or our  tion can navigate towards a secure and
         Pakistan’s  foreign  relations  have  no  there are several middle and aspiring big  Pakistan that its leaders have not given  problems with India.  prosperous  future  for  its  people.  For
       doubt  had  their  success  stories,  which  powers multi-aligning and networking  of their own accord to strengthen their   The irony is that the present Taliban  that, we need a foreign policy that be-
       have  been  crowned  by  the  Pak-China  through mini-forums, ad hoc groupings  position  in  the  domestic  struggle  for  are not as domestically stable as the first  gins at home and is housed in the for-
       friendship. Pakistan has stood up well to  and shifting coalitions at the global and  power.  This  has  to  stop.  The  relation- dispensation of the 90’s but they have a  eign office which should be owning the
       India’s hegemony and its nuclear capabil- regional levels with or without getting  ship must no longer be based on Paki- greater chance of being accepted by the  foreign policy, not renting it.
       ity, for which both the civilian and mili- involved in the US-China rivalry.  stan’s  role  as  an  adjunct  to  America’s  global community. The Taliban govern-  (The writer, a former Ambassador,
       tary leaderships are to be credited, has not   It  is  already  apparent  how  multi- wars. It has to find a new sense of pur- ment is reaching out to other countries  is  adjunct  professor  at  Georgetown
       only been good for the country’s security  alignment  is  enhancing  countries’  pose from both sides and Pakistan must  in the region. It needs India’s support,  University  and  Visiting  Senior  Re-
       but also for peace in the region. Pakistan  bargaining  power  individually  or  as  know the terms of engagement clearly.  and it is also using its relations with In- search Fellow at the Institute of South
       has also enjoyed a high profile in multi- groups.  This  can  create  a  whole  new   If the US is unreliable, the answer is  dia as leverage against Pakistan.  Asian Studies, National University of
       lateral diplomacy and has had excellent  set of opportunities for a wider circle  not to avoid a relationship with it. It is   The  Afghan  Taliban  are  never  go- Singapore. Header illustration: Mush-
       relations with the Muslim world.  of  small  and  middle  powers.  To  en- to have a relationship that is premised  ing  to  abandon  the  Tehreek-i-Taliban  ba Said/ Dawn.com File - Dawn)
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