By Syed Arif Hussaini

May 12 , 2006

To Pump or Not to Pump, That Is Not the Question


America is the land of the automobile. It was invented and nurtured in this land; it throve and flourished here and became the darling of the entire nation. The inventive genius of this ‘can do’ society brought it within the reach of even a man of meager means. Soon it came to be counted among the necessities of a common man. It is now the consuming passion of this society. That is the ground reality.
An average American is therefore astonished to be told that he has become addicted to oil, and he is therefore himself responsible for the current high cost of gas.
He does not comprehend clearly the complexities of the oil industry. The role of the oil-rich Gulf States, the war in Iraq, the clouds of a conflict over Iran and the sudden spurt in the thirst of oil in China and India are too far away from his mental screen. All he sees there are the Neros of the oil industry manipulating the market and putting in their pockets millions in profit squeezed from the consumers’ wallets.
He wants to hit back and see someone squirming like himself. He finds confronting the choice between feeding the family and fueling the car. He can’t give up either. It is the Hobson’s choice. To pump or not to pump, that is not the question for him. He has to.
As it is, his paychecks are already eaten up by a host of other rising costs, from health care to education, to housing. He cannot find any justification for the billions made in profit by oil companies. He may want to kick the butt of the CEO of an oil conglomerate who was recently paid $400 million on retirement. Since that is not feasible, he takes it out with the cashier by hitting hard on the counter the wad of dollar bills for the gas. The young cashier, a college student, appreciates the customer’s anger and tries to explain the intricacies of the system, but fumbles and falters as he could make little sense trying to separate oil from politics.
Responding to the mounting outrage, President Bush announced on April 25 a series of measures. These include halting of the purchases for the government emergency stockpile, suspending environmental rules governing gasoline refiners, and investigation of possible price gouging by oil companies. He has ordered three federal agencies to investigate this, particularly as several oil companies have reported record profits. Exxon Mobil reported an enormous profit of $36.1 billion for 2005 - the biggest ever by any US company.
In the Congress, public representatives have come out with scathing denunciation of oil companies. Senator Ron Wyden (D) advocated the withdrawal of subsidies of $35 billion for oil and gas companies. GOP Senators have rolled out a package of energy measures, including a $100 rebate to most taxpayers. They also proposed permission for drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge in Alaska –a proposal opposed vehemently by Democrats.
Democrats too have unveiled their own ideas, including windfall-profit tax, a temporary suspension of the federal gas tax and alternative energy investments.
The windfall-profit tax sounds punitive and thus holds an emotional appeal for the customer at the pump. But such a tax does not lower prices; it simply creates another moneybag for the government. Nor would it increase oil production by one barrel or decrease American companies’ dependence on foreign producing states.
The Democrats have held press conferences at gas stations to effectively exploit consumers’ pain. Both parties are focused on the mid-term elections in November. The oil companies too have launched PR projects but in the opinion of Senator John McCain, “They have the least PR sensitivity of any group outside of satanic cults.”
From the viewpoint of an ordinary consumer, the profit margins of oil companies are outlandish, and they are kicking consumers when they are down. He has grown cynical towards both parties. Election results will reveal the direction of his rage.
The oil industry, it need be pointed out, has been one of the closest allies of the Bush administration. And it has financed Democratic candidates too. The rhetoric in the Congress is thus unlikely to be matched by concrete proposals bringing immediate relief to customers at the pump.
Dozens of price-fixing investigations in the past have come to naught. Big oil’s top executives have appeared before Congressional committees twice this summer. The current furor too will die down.
As the Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke, has cautioned, “Unfortunately, after many years of not really doing as much as we should have on the energy front, this situation has arisen, And I don’t see any way to make a marked impact on it in the very short run…. I would like to let the market system work as much as possible to generate new supplies, both of oil and alternatives, and for the prices, painful as they may be, to help generate more conservation and alternative uses of energy on the demand side.”
With polls showing that high gasoline prices are creating deep anxiety about the election-year economy, the President wants to project the image of a leader doing everything he can to provide some relief, but without alienating corporate allies and economic conservatives who loathe government intervention in the market.
Since any fructuous intervention is ruled out, the consumers will be served with a lot of rhetoric but no relief. Those barely scraping through may take the advice painted on the back of a bus: “Gas isn’t expensive if you don’t buy any”. But, those doing slightly better may take the advice in a Chinese adage: “When rape is inevitable, relax and enjoy it.”
The affluent, blithely indifferent to their gas bills, may continue playing their fiddles in a state of insouciance. The middle class - the backbone of the economy - might shrink under the ripple effect of the impact. The strong innovative genius of American society, however, holds out a ray of hope. It may produce an alternative fuel that is renewable, cleaner and competitive, if not cheaper. Let us keep our fingers crossed.


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Editor: Akhtar M. Faruqui
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