By Syed Arif Hussaini

November 02, 2007

Is Pakistan the Most Dangerous Nation?


The latest issue (Oct. 29) of Newsweek says so in its lead story spread over nine pages. Pakistan, it says, is now the homeland of Jihad, and no other country on earth is arguably more dangerous than Pakistan. For, Al Qaeda may be able to find its nuclear bomb right in its own backyard. Almost the entire Pakistani society is under the delusion that the war on terror is chiefly between Al Qaeda and Taliban on the one side and the United States and its Western allies on the other. It is not Pakistan’s war, nor its responsibility.
While the Newsweek has presented Pakistan as more dangerous than Iraq and the rest of the world, an eminent US senator, Joe Biden (D) from Delaware, Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said in an interview with the Washington Post’s editorial board on October 25: “I’m a hell of a lot more worried about Pakistan, which already has nuclear weapons as opposed to Iran, which is still working on nuclear enrichment.... I wish we’d pay as much attention to Pakistan as the saber rattling we’re doing with Iran”.
Pakistan, that had been declared not long ago a “major Non-NATO” ally by President Bush and Gen. Musharraf was accepted by the US government and the media as a crucial ally in the war on terror, is now being viewed through a somewhat different set of glasses.
Pakistan is fighting the war from conviction and not under pressure from the US as insinuated by the Newsweek.
The country has throughout its existence been friendly, if not obsequious, towards the US. It has been the recipient of substantial military assistance and sports a war machine disproportionate to its intrinsic economic strength. Whenever needed, Pakistan’s military has willingly served the US interests – the war against the Soviet Union in Afghanistan, for instance. The country’s structure and interests are so intertwined with those of the US, that it can hardly march away on a tangent, no matter how the civil society might feel.
Taking this situation into account, and the unrelenting pressure on the Bush Administration to pull out of Iraq as early as possible, it would be quite convenient for the US to pick Pakistan as the whipping boy to divert attention from the unflattering and inevitable withdrawal. It would also diminish the possibility of Pakistan’s adverse reaction towards any move against Iran that may follow the sanctions already imposed on that country for defying the demand to give up its nuclear program.
The allegation that Pakistan has become more dangerous than Iraq is therefore tendentious, motivated and totally false. While in Iraq, the US embassy personnel cannot move about freely outside the Green Zone and while the US mission in that country cannot find local recruits despite high salaries, in Pakistan even the US Ambassador goes around the country – her recent visit to Karachi for instance- without special security arrangements.
Both the Newsweek story and the statement of Senator Biden point out the possibility of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal becoming accessible to Al Qaeda and Taliban. This despite the fact that US authorities at the highest level have been provided convincing evidence of the fool-proof arrangements made for the security of the nuclear devices. The crucial fact in this context is that Pakistan is the only nuclear state among over 55 Islamic states, and it has yet to recognize Israel.
One hopes that the media campaign is not a prelude to any action contemplated to remove Pakistan’s nuclear teeth. That would explain Benazir’s offer to allow access to PAEC to question A. Q. Khan. That would also explain her offer to allow American troops on the soil of Pakistan (ostensibly) to pursue Osama and his cohorts.
On the other hand, developments on the ground in Pakistan since last March, when President Musharraf’s attempt to sack his turbulent Chief Justice got botched, have loosened his grip on the reins of power. His strategy to thwart Al Qaeda and Taliban from making inroads into the tribal areas of Waziristan by entering into peace deals with the elders of the area also did not work out as envisioned by him and his advisors. While he remained in a state of denial over the success of the militants in using the agreements for creating sanctuaries in the rugged terrain, evidence started mounting that the Islamic extremists had started consolidating their hold on the area. The traditional system of governance in the tribal areas had collapsed making room for the reactionary Baitullah Mahsood and others to introduce an antediluvian, Taliban-style rule in the name of Islam.
In Swat, a picturesque, peaceful valley in the same vicinity, another obscurantist religious figure by the name of Fazlullah could set up a parallel administration on the pattern of the Taliban of Afghanistan. He has been holding court and passing judgments in the name of Islamic jurisprudence (Shariat). To him women must be suppressed, confined to the house and allowed to move out only in a head to toe cover, ‘burqua’, girls should not be sent to schools, music should be banned, CD and video shops be destroyed and barbers ordered to refuse shaving beards – to mention just a few of his silly beliefs.
He operates a clandestine FM radio station that gives guidance and instructions to his followers. His suicide bombers have just killed 30 soldiers who were traveling in a military vehicle in the Swat Valley. Pakistan’s authorities have moved thousands of armed personnel into the area to reestablish government writ.
The tentacles of this cancerous growth could take into its grip even the Red Mosque in the heart of Islamabad, and had to be eradicated with force at a cost of over one hundred lives.
Musharraf is a modern man. He has a deep distaste for the obscurantist mullah. No wonder, two attempts were made on his life by Al Qaeda operatives in which he narrowly escaped death. Yet, the fact remains that under his watch, the semi-autonomous tribal territories have been used by the Taliban of Afghanistan to establish havens for their militants.
Pakistan army has the wherewithal to eradicate this evil. Let it handle the situation and be judged by the results after the operations are over. Media campaigns, such as the one mentioned above, pressures on the country’s administrations and indirect maneuvering of political developments, might turn out to be counterproductive. It would be wise to exercise caution than to yield to the temerity of tumultuous solutions. Tarnishing the image of a perennial friend would be like cutting your nose to spite your face, unless of course the move has ulterior motives. arifhussaini@hotmail.com

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